I’d just like to clarify, as I’ve intimated on Twitter, that I’m changing my predictions for the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame class of 2016 to:
- Janet Jackson
- Cheap Trick
- This spot is giving me trouble. I can see it going to Deep Purple, Yes, Steve Miller, and maybe even The Spinners, The Smiths, and Los Lobos. Ultimately, I think Future Rock Legends has the right idea in predicting Steve Miller. There’s always one “how the Hell did they win?” kind of entry each year, and it tends to be the blues artist. Miller is the bluesist guy on the list, and remember, Rock Hall voters picked both Stevie Ray Vaughan and Paul Butterfield last year, and Albert King for the Class of 2013. I think there will be a confluence of blues enthusiasts and San Fran scene veterans (think of all the Grateful Dead alumni who have voting rights) to turn things his way in a competitive ballot.
with Chic in the mix if they go to 6 selections.
I am switching out Nine Inch Nails and Yes for Chicago and Steve Miller, essentially. Yes has lots of prog rock love, but every other proggy act has either a vibrant subculture (Rush) or is in the conversation for the Top 100 Rock and Roll acts of all time (Genesis). Ultimately, I don’t think there are enough prog/art rock/experimental fans among the voters to carry Yes, even with Chris Squire’s recent death. The same wariness toward the experimental- seen in lots of failed Kraftwerk nominations- may doom Nine Inch Nails. As for Chicago, FRL is right to point out that their schedule puts them in New York close to the presumptive ceremony date (and puts touring partners Earth, Wind, and Fire in the same vicinity to give the induction speech.) And the band’s induction would be a ratings boon, especially if Cetera and Seraphine show up. While critics hate them, I think they have enough love from their 70s contemporaries and enough grudges lifted by Werner and company to carry the day.
I’d also expect The JBs to get a Musical Excellence Award, and maybe one or two producers (most likely candidates? Nile Rodgers (if Chic doesn’t get in), Rick Rubin, and Brian Eno.)